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Fed July 29, 2026: 78% Hold Odds and What It Means for Thai Forex Traders

Markets price a 78% chance the Fed holds at 3.50-3.75% on July 29. But Bank of America forecasts three more hikes later in 2026 — and the baht will feel every ...

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USD/THB at 33.58: US-Iran Conflict Pushes Thai Baht Lower in July 2026

The baht closed at 33.58 on July 16 after the Bank of Thailand explicitly tied a 5-6% slide to the US-Iran military conflict. Here is what traders and savers ...

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Kevin Warsh’s 3-Hike Signal: BofA’s Forecast and Thailand’s Asset Outlook 2026

Bank of America projects three more Fed hikes in 2026: September, October, December. That rewrites the investment case for Thai baht, SET sectors, crypto, and ...

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Fed July 29 Decision: What a 25% Hike Probability Means for Thai Forex 2026

Markets price 25–30% odds of a Fed hike on July 29. Under Kevin Warsh a surprise move is entirely possible — and the Thai baht would feel it within hours.

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Thai Baht Slips to 33.53 as BOT-Fed Rate Gap Widens in 2026

The baht hit 33.53 per dollar on July 14 — weakest in over a year. The 275-basis-point gap between BOT's 1% rate and the Fed's 3.75% cap is why it keeps ...

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Brent at $76.56: How the Hormuz Surge Is Squeezing Thailand in July 2026

Brent crude jumped nearly 7% in a week to $76.56 as Strait of Hormuz disruptions escalated. For Thailand, which imports 90% of its crude, this creates a ...

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BoT at 1%, Fed Hike Odds at 54%: Thailand’s Rate Gap Problem in 2026

The Bank of Thailand is holding at 1% while markets price 54% odds of two more Fed hikes. The 275-bp differential — widest since 2007 — explains the baht's ...

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USD/THB Falls to 33.28: Is the Baht Finding Its Floor in July 2026?

The baht pulled back from a 33.53 high on July 8 to 33.28 by week-end. Here's what drove the swing, why the 275-bp rate gap keeps pressure alive, and what ...

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BOT at 1% vs Fed at 3.8%: What the Rate Gap Means for THB in 2026

The Bank of Thailand holds at 1% while the Fed's median 2026 forecast is now 3.8%. That 280-basis-point gap is the largest driver of structural baht pressure ...

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USD/THB at 33.39 as BOT Holds Rates at 1% — July 2026

The Thai baht steadied at 33.39 per dollar after the BOT's unanimous rate hold at 1%. With inflation cooling again, here is what the data means for Thai FX ...

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MiCA June 30 Deadline: Which Offshore Forex Brokers Can Still Serve Thai Clients

The EU MiCA regulation required all crypto-asset service providers to hold authorization by June 30, 2026. Forex and CFD brokers with crypto products had to ...

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US-Iran July 2026 Strikes Send Oil Higher and Hit the Thai Baht

US airstrikes against Iranian targets on July 7-8 triggered a fresh oil rally, with Brent crude up 0.9 percent. For Thailand which imports most of its energy, ...

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