{"id":6137,"date":"2026-07-04T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/?p=6137"},"modified":"2026-07-04T17:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T10:00:00","slug":"set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/","title":{"rendered":"SET at 1,588 in July 2026: Analysts Target 1,650 and H2 Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The SET index closed June at <strong>1,591 points<\/strong> on June 30 \u2014 up 0.85% on the day \u2014 and opened July trading between 1,583 and 1,596. Two of Thailand&#8217;s major securities houses have already published their July targets: Globlex Securities puts the range at <strong>1,620\u20131,630<\/strong>, while CGS International goes slightly higher at <strong>1,620\u20131,650<\/strong>. Those targets imply 2%\u20134% upside from current levels, which is achievable but not guaranteed. The case for it rests on a few specific catalysts, and it is worth knowing what they are before positioning.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_83 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/#Why_Analysts_Are_Bullish_for_July\" >Why Analysts Are Bullish for July<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/#What_Could_Keep_the_SET_Below_1620\" >What Could Keep the SET Below 1,620<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/#Sector_Picks_Worth_Watching_in_H2_2026\" >Sector Picks Worth Watching in H2 2026<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/#What_This_Means_for_Thai_Investors\" >What This Means for Thai Investors<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/brokerth.com\/en\/set-1588-july-2026-target-1650-h2-picks-en\/#The_Key_Dates_for_July\" >The Key Dates for July<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Analysts_Are_Bullish_for_July\"><\/span>Why Analysts Are Bullish for July<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The main arguments are three. First, the government&#8217;s &#8220;Thais Help Thais&#8221; (\u0e04\u0e19\u0e44\u0e17\u0e22\u0e0a\u0e48\u0e27\u0e22\u0e04\u0e19\u0e44\u0e17\u0e22) co-payment consumption scheme is expected to provide a visible GDP boost in the third quarter. When you pump several hundred billion baht into consumer spending over a short window, it shows up in retail sales, food and beverage revenues, and discretionary consumption \u2014 all of which support sectors that are heavily represented in the SET.<\/p>\n<p>Second, Q2 2026 bank earnings releases are coming in the second half of July. Aggregate loan growth has been positive, and banking stocks \u2014 which have significant weight in the SET \u2014 tend to react well when earnings beat a modest bar. KBank, SCB, and Krungsri are the names most likely to move the index.<\/p>\n<p>Third, foreign fund flows have shifted toward Defensive and Value themes in Thailand, which is a more stable inflow base than speculative momentum money. Infrastructure, utilities, and select consumer staples are seeing institutional allocation increases.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Could_Keep_the_SET_Below_1620\"><\/span>What Could Keep the SET Below 1,620<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The SET has been below 1,600 for most of June. Getting to 1,620 requires foreign buying or at least a cessation of foreign selling, which has been the dominant flow pattern. The baht weakness \u2014 USD\/THB at 33.38, the weakest since May 2025 \u2014 reduces the attractiveness of Thai equities to foreign investors who price returns in dollars. A dollar-denominated investor buying the SET today is buying into both equity risk and currency risk.<\/p>\n<p>The global backdrop is also not clean. US equity volatility, ongoing uncertainty about the Fed&#8217;s July decision, and oil price volatility (energy stocks are a meaningful SET component) all create noise that can keep international buyers cautious.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Sector_Picks_Worth_Watching_in_H2_2026\"><\/span>Sector Picks Worth Watching in H2 2026<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>If the broader market does reach 1,620\u20131,650, certain sectors are positioned to outperform:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Banks<\/strong> \u2014 Q2 earnings catalyst, stable loan growth, potential beneficiary of any BOT rate normalization (longer-term)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Retail and consumer<\/strong> \u2014 direct beneficiary of the co-payment stimulus; look at Central Retail and BJC<\/li>\n<li><strong>Healthcare<\/strong> \u2014 structural growth from medical tourism recovery and aging demographics; a reliable defensive play<\/li>\n<li><strong>Energy<\/strong> \u2014 PTT and PTTEP benefit from elevated oil prices linked to Middle East risk; volatile but high-return in the right environment<\/li>\n<li><strong>Industrial estates<\/strong> \u2014 AI and technology supply chain relocation from China to Thailand has been a multi-year driver; WHA Group and Amata are the key names<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_This_Means_for_Thai_Investors\"><\/span>What This Means for Thai Investors<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The SET at 1,588 is not cheap by Thai market standards, but it is not expensive either. The 12-month forward P\/E is around 14x \u2014 in line with ASEAN peers and below the 15x\u201317x range seen during the 2021\u20132022 bull run. Dividend yields from SET blue chips average around 3.5%\u20134%, which is competitive with fixed deposits given the BOT rate at 1%.<\/p>\n<p>For long-term investors, July&#8217;s potential 2%\u20134% move toward 1,620\u20131,650 matters less than the H2 2026 earnings trajectory. If the co-payment stimulus and Q2 bank earnings both deliver, the SET has a credible path toward 1,700+ before year-end. If the global macro environment deteriorates \u2014 particularly around the Fed meeting \u2014 the 1,550\u20131,570 support zone comes back into play.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Key_Dates_for_July\"><\/span>The Key Dates for July<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Mid-July<\/strong> \u2014 Bank Q2 earnings releases; KBank and SCB results will set the tone for the sector<\/li>\n<li><strong>Late July<\/strong> \u2014 Government confirmation of Q3 stimulus details; market will want specifics on the co-payment scheme size<\/li>\n<li><strong>July 29<\/strong> \u2014 Fed decision; global risk-on\/risk-off will determine whether foreign buying returns to the SET<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The 1,620 target is the level to watch. A weekly close above it by end-July would confirm the bullish case and open the conversation about the 1,700 target for Q3. Staying below 1,600 through month-end suggests the macro headwinds are too heavy for domestic catalysts to overcome alone.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The SET closed June at 1,591 points. Globlex targets 1,620-1,630; CGS goes to 1,650. Here&#8217;s what&#8217;s driving the optimism, which sectors to watch, and what could keep the index below 1,600.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-6137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>SET Index 1,588: Analysts Target 1,650 and Best H2 2026 Picks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The SET closed June at 1,591 points. Globlex targets 1,620-1,630; CGS goes to 1,650. 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